Blatant Exit Poll -
Final Count Disparities
Analysis By Faun Otter
Vote Fraud Expert
So, what do we actually see when comparing exit polls with actual results?
There is skew - but ONLY in states which the Republicans had previously
stated to be target states in play. The skew is in the same direction every
time; that is to say in favor of Bush. The exit poll results are not
scattered about the mean as the alternative theory predicts. They are all
on the Kerry side of the vote counts as issued by the states except for a
hand full of states which hit amazingly close to the exit poll figures.
Here are the figures. They list the four contemporaneous and uncorrected
exit polls. Kerry is listed first and Bush second in each pair of figures.
'Published' is the figure presented as the official vote count as of 10.00
am EST on 11/3/04, the morning after...
Poll one 45-55
Final poll 45-55
Poll one 48-51
2nd poll 48-50
3rd poll 46-53
Poll one 42-57
Final poll 43-56
Poll one 51-48
Poll one 49-49
3rd poll 50-48
Final poll 49-49
Poll one 50-48
2nd poll 50-48
3rd poll 50-48
Final poll 50-49
3rd poll 55-44
3rd poll 48-49
3rd poll 45-54
Final poll 46-54
These tracking polls were right where you would expect them to be and
within the margin of error. However, if we look at some other states, the
figures are beyond curious. Either the exit polls were wrong or the vote
count is wrong:
Poll one 52-48
3rd poll 51-46
Final poll 52-47
Poll one 60-40
3rd poll 54-45
Final poll 53-46
Poll one 52-48
2nd poll 50-49
3rd poll 50-49
Final poll 51-49
Poll one 51-48
2nd poll 50-49
3rd poll 50-49
Final poll 51-49
Poll one 58-40
3rd poll 58-40
Final poll 54-44
Poll one 57-41
3rd poll 58-41
3rd poll 49-51
Final poll 48-52
Taking the figures and measuring the size and direction of the poll to
supposed vote count discrepancy, we find the variance between the exit poll
and the final result:
Wisconsin: Bush plus 4%
Pennsylvania: Bush plus 5%
Ohio: Bush plus 4%
Florida: Bush plus 7%
Minnesota: Bush plus 7%
New Hampshire: Bush plus 15%
North Carolina: Bush plus 9%
Hello, Uranus? Got Any Room?
Must. Move. Away. Cannot endure more Bush. Soul about to implode. Right?
Not so fast
By Mark Morford, SF Gate Columnist
Friday, November 5, 2004
I said it, you said it, pretty much anyone with a brain larger than a grape
or a soul more nimble than a rock said it maybe a thousand times over.
And you probably weren't even all that drunk when you said it and maybe you
were even a little more than half serious and maybe you said it just like
this: If Bush somehow snags another election, if the unthinkable comes to
pass and the Dubya neocon nightmare refuses to end, well, that's it. I'm
Done. Over. Gone. Moving away. To Canada. Or France. Latvia. Uranus.
Anywhere, really, that doesn't have Bush as leader and that doesn't make me
openly ashamed to be a citizen and that doesn't make me feel like a
sickened disillusioned ulcerated outcast in my own happily divisive country
every damn day including Sunday.
You want a place, you say, that doesn't right this minute seem to be
working heroically to make homophobia and born-again fundamentalism and
pre-emptive isolationist warmongering and environmental ignorance a
national religion. A place where SUVs aren't considered minor deities and
where gay people aren't loathed for wanting to slice a wedding cake and
where brazen heavily narcotized denial in the face of a veritable mountain
of presidential lies isn't the national pastime.
Tempting, isn't it? To just move away to a sunnier, clothing-optional
utopia and wait for it all to be over, for the dark days to pass and the
Shrub era to sink into the tar pits of history and the fog to finally lift?
After all, most all of us on the progressive Left feel we truly faced the
dragon this election, and we put up a valiant fight and marshaled as potent
an army of dissenters and intellectuals and moderates and liberal crusaders
and feminists and enlightened activists as possible, considering.
And we supposedly had more of the youth vote and the disenfranchised
single-female vote and the "Daily Show" vote and the Eminem vote and the
celebrity vote and the humanitarian vote and the antiwar vote and the gay
vote and the pro-choice vote and the Howard Stern vote and the immigrant
vote, and still the dragon just sneered and hacked up another fireball of
bogus fear and evangelical Christian self-righteousness and torched our
glimmering sword of juicy hope into a smoking cinder.
And now, this. The nation has officially, stupefyingly handed the world's
worst president a blank check to do whatever he and his cronies like,
without fear of major repercussions or voter disillusionment or damage to
an imminent re-election campaign, because there won't be one.
Which is to say, Bush now has no one to worry about now but his true
constituents (hint: it ain't mainstream Repubs, or even the born-agains),
no one to answer to but the CEOs and the energy barons and the
military-supply corporations co-owned by his father, and nothing to guide
him but his own deeply regressive, monosyllabic moral compass. Hell, why
stick around for more of that?
But here's the catch. Here's the tough part to accept. Here's what everyone
who's right now on the brink of packing their bags and checking the real
estate prices in Vancouver has to know and has to have drilled into their
disconsolate hope-crushed souls right this minute, before it's too late:
You cannot leave. You cannot drop the armor now. Why? Because you are
needed, more than ever. You are mandatory to keep the energy flowing, the
karmic vibrator buzzing, to keep the progressive and lucid half of the
nation breathing and healthy and awake and ever reaching out to the half
that's wallowing in fear and violence and homophobia and sexual dread,
hoping to find harmony instead of cacophony, common ground instead of civil
war, some sort of a shared love of a country so messy and internationally
disrespected and openly confused its own president can't even speak the
After all, you don't hand over all your children the first time the flying
monkeys bang on your door. You don't give up your dream house just because
a bunch of gangbangers moved in down the block. You become a bit more wary
and alert and you stock up on the superlative porn and the expensive wine
and the deepened sense of true beauty and sex and love and hope and you
hunker down and grit your teeth and dig in for the long haul, and you work
on making your own goddamn garden more beautiful than even you could have
imagined, because, well, the neighborhood -- and the world -- needs it,
more than ever.
Look. No one said it was gonna be easy. No one said it was gonna be
painless. And no one said it was gonna be quick. As I've noted before, the
neocons have been planning this takeover for decades. The Bush regime,
despite feeling like a massive indigestible incomprehensible fluke, is no
The GOP is deeply entrenched and the razor wire is all around their
compound and they are masterful at working the angles of fear and
manipulation and of kowtowing to the least tolerant and least morally
flexible segments of the population -- this is, after all, how Bush won a
second term -- and hence they aren't about to just roll over at the first
sign of outcry or dissent or a snowboarding senator, even if he's 10 times
the man and a thousand times the intellect of the smirking lunk currently
And besides, most hardcore Republicans would, of course, love it if you'd
leave the country, and take your gul-dang gay-lovin' tofu-eatin'
tree-huggin' pierced-labia values with you. They would love it,
furthermore, if the libs in the morally shredded red states would split for
the coastal cities and the major metropolises of America, all those godless
heathen places where the neighbors won't yank the Kerry/Edwards sign outta
your front lawn and chase you down and beat you with it and call it
patriotism. Remember: bullies never deserve to own the playground.
And one of the most stirring e-mails I received during the outpouring of
grief the day after the election was from a young female reader, "an
artist, an intellectual and a Jew" who's been living in Mexico and who now
says she's so enraged and saddened by the election's ugly outcome that
she's preparing to return to the States ASAP, just so she can help, so she
can join the resistance, keep the right-wingers from coming after our
souls. Now, that's patriotism.
The bottom line: Don't disband the newfound army just because one ugly
battle was lost. Mourn, commiserate, lick wounds, lick each other, drink
heavily, spit out your stale gum of disappointment and pop in a fresh clove
of laughter and spiritual heat and then regroup and sober up and take an
even deeper breath and watch in hot wet spiritually emboldened amusement as
the cosmic circus unfolds.
It's far from over. The tunnel is just a little darker -- and longer --
than we imagined.
"Look, dear! Don't the chemtrails look lovely tonight..."
By John Kaminski
Oh, the gnashing of teeth, the beating of breasts, the wailings of woe.
Bush and the Republicans stole the election! Big surprise, eh? The neocon
Nazis have done nothing but break the law since before they ever took
office. You were expecting fair play from them, perchance?
Much as I admire many of my friends who are desperately trying to tell
everyone that the exit polls matched the election results in all the states
with a paper trail, but didn't in states without one - suspiciously and
substantially favoring Bush instead - they all are, to put it politely,
whizzing into the wind. Perhaps they hope to find a prosecutor aspiring to
career suicide, or maybe a judge who wishes to see his family killed in
some kind of odd accident, an inexplicable plane crash, perhaps..
Of course, it is of some substantive concern that the American electoral
process has been placed in the hands of partisan corporations, guaranteeing
about as much integrity as typical government reports saying
antidepressants are good for children, or the feds have no idea who
committed the anthrax murders, or corporations should not be held liable
for their lethal products because it's bad for business.
Your vote didn't count last time. Why would you expect it would now?
And anyway, here's a more important question.
How, in an election year where the central questions should have been about
waging wars based on well-known lies and throwing away the lives of
American soldiers chasing phantoms who don't exist - as well as questioning
the cynical coverup of the greatest crime in American history, which 3,000
Americans were murdered by these same phantoms .... how could these
momentous questions be overshadowed on election day by a relatively
irrelevant brouhaha about gay marriage?
In fact, it was because the loyal opposition chose not to mention these
issues, but instead participated in the media coverup of these crimes,
because in fact there is only one party in this country - the party of the
banks. On that level this election was a complete sham. There was no real
contest. So why are you so upset about the results of an election in which
both candidates were saying the same thing? Hell, it's only too appropriate
the results were manipulated, given the insincere similarity of the
Evil electronic electioneering and deliberately distracting debates are not
the top stories of this election.
When all was said and done, your vote didn't really matter because John
Kerry essentially agreed with everything Bush had done during his
capital-crime-plagued first term. (Capital crimes, as in treason and mass
murder.) Kerry promised to INCREASE the war effort in Iraq. He accepts the
reality of the cover story of Arab hijackers. He helped write the Patriot
Act. Fifteen years ago, he helped cover up the BCCI scandal, another one of
the great robberies in American history.
So, why are so many so upset that Republican vote-counting executives stole
the election for Bush in Ohio, Florida, Georgia, and God knows where else?
We know having Kerry, Bush's fraternity brother, in the White House would
have made absolutely no difference in terms of government policy.
So why is everyone so upset that Kerry so quickly conceded, getting himself
out that contrived dog-and-pony show as fast as possible? Why is anyone
upset that Kerry lost? Nothing would have changed!
Why bother working to overturn an election when success would mean
installing a candidate who would do nothing different from the man who won?
Now that's what I call a totally futile effort.
No, there is a bigger question than vote fraud, or the manipulation of
public opinion by unscrupulous media corporations, or the fact that the two
political parties are actually one, and that the loyal opposition seeks
only to emulate the party in power rather than oppose it, which means it no
longer has a chance of winning anything.
The biggest question of all is about the caliber - and the sanity - of the
The mask is off now.
The lies used to justify the continuing slaughter of innocent people in
Iraq fester like an infected scab on the psyche of the American people, who
have become so twisted in their pursuit of narcotized tranquility that they
are now even cheering the deaths of their own children who come home in
boxes we are not allowed to see. How much more insane can it get before
blissful blackness will alleviate our misery?
If souls were faces, Americans would gaze into their bathroom mirrors each
morning and see their rotting skin covered with oozing sores, putrescent
pustules of their suicidal disease caused by their intransigent focus on
tormenting trivialities, caused by their willing ignorance of their
soldiers - their own children - raping Iraqi children, blowing Iraqi
families to bits, then, as their deeds set into their curdled spirits,
coming home and hanging themselves in the shattering silence of realizing
their own horrified depravity.
Do you have a child in the military?
Chances are fairly good - if he is still alive - he has become a murderer,
or a rapist, or that he has become sickened to the point that his life is
ruined, which means that your life is ruined, if you have any feelings at
This is America 2004. A willing blindness drapes the land like a shroud,
where old men beat their war drums and young men say, "hey, this is really
cool!" in the millisecond before they lose a limb to a land mine, or frag
an unknown family into bleeding bits of twitching protoplasm.
Americans have not only lost their souls into insane religious practices,
they've lost their brains as well. What other country on Earth can't even
keep track of its own voting process, that offers two candidates who are
handpicked androids of the power elite, who both cheerily endorse senseless
killing of people already oppressed by enemies invented by the very people
who fight them?
I ask again: Do you have a child in the military?
Because if you don't, you will soon. What will you do when your child is
drafted into the military and sent to Iraq to kill innocent people for
reasons that you know in your heart are lies?
Will you wave your flag, like most Americans do, just as you have dutifully
cast your vote?
The election is over. It didn't matter who won. What matters is that
America has lost, and Americans eagerly helped her lose, just as Americans
eagerly kill people all over the world for reasons that they know are lies.
Since both candidates were pursuing the same policies in regard to making
unjust war, in this election, Americans voted overwhelmingly - almost 100
percent - to kill their own children for reasons that they know are lies.
And kill anyone else within convenient shooting distance.
Long live the empire. Let the killing continue.
Stop whining about the vote. You got exactly what you deserved. A homicidal
liar with the weaponry - and the willingness - to kill everyone on the
This is the new American dream, and it's your worst nightmare.
You have only yourself to thank for not paying attention. Have a nice day.
John Kaminski's essays have appeared on hundreds of websites around the
world and have been collected into two anthologies. The latest, titled "The
Perfect Enemy," is available at http://www.johnkaminski.com/
A Day of Infamy
by Paul Craig Roberts
On November 2 Americans blew their only chance to redeem themselves in the
eyes of the world.
The entire world is stunned by the Bush administrations abandonment of a
half century of US diplomacy in favor of misguided, unilateralist,
"preemptive" naked aggression on totally false pretenses against Iraq.
Americas allies are amazed at the ignorance manifested by the Bush
administration. They are resentful of Bushs "in-your-eye" attitude toward
friends who warned Bush against leading America into a quagmire and giving
Osama bin Laden the war he wanted.
The world was waiting hopefully for the sensible American people to rectify
the ill-advised actions of a rogue neoconservative administration. Instead,
Americans placed the stamp of approval on the least justifiable military
action since Hitler invaded Poland.
In the eyes of the world, Bushs reelection is proof that Ariel Sharons
neoconsevative allies in the Bush administration speak for America after
The worlds sympathy for America that followed the September 11 attacks has
been squandered. If the US suffers terrorist attacks in the future, the
world will say that America invited the attacks and got what it asked for.
Europeans and Asians will never be able to comprehend that Bush was
reelected because Americans were voting against homosexual marriage and
The world is simply unable to believe that Americans, so enamored of family
values, would vote to send their sons, fathers, husbands, and brothers to
unprovoked war unless Americans valued empire and control over oil as more
important than their family members.
The crude propagandistic Republican campaign against John Kerry is shocking
to Europeans. The childishness of American conservatives scares them.
Americas French friends, seeking to save America from making the same
mistakes that France made in the past, advised Bush not to rush into an
Iraqi invasion. American conservatives instantly and blindly perceived
French words of wisdom as proof that France was in the "against us" camp.
Conservatives announced a boycott of French fries. Everything French was
denigrated for no other reason than the French tried to warn us.
Conservatives quickly produced a "revisionist" book, "Our Oldest Enemy: A
History of Americas Disastrous Relationship with France," "proving" that
France has always been Americas worst enemy.
Americas European allies cannot differentiate the immaturity of American
conservatives from the ignorance of the National Socialists.
As hearts harden and minds close against America, Americans will have to go
The US invasion of Iraq has proved to be a disaster--exactly as the French
and everyone with a mere modicum of sense said in advance. Eight of ten US
divisions are tied down by a few thousand insurgents.
US troops do not control towns, cities, roads, or even the fortified Green
The American impulse is to smash cities, thus killing women and children
and destroying the homes and livelihoods of noncombatants, while the
insurgents regroup elsewhere. The top American generals, who were ridiculed
by the Secretary of Defense and his deluded neoconservative deputy for
forthrightly stating that occupation of Iraq would require a larger army
than was available, stand vindicated.
The price of the Bush administrations delusion is 10,000 dead and maimed
American troops--more than three times the casualties caused by the
September 11 terrorist attacks. Bushs declared policy of "continuing to the
end" will swell this number and bring back the draft.
The world is amazed that Americans do not care that they have been
deceived, lied to, and incompetently led and that Americans have chosen to
continue along this path.
Bushs reelection has ended forever respect for America. New and
unflattering sobriquets for Americans are emerging. The American century is
November 6, 2004
Dr. Roberts is John M. Olin Fellow at the Institute for Political Economy
and Research Fellow at the Independent Institute. He is a former associate
editor of the Wall Street Journal and a former assistant secretary of the
U.S. Treasury. He is the co-author of The Tyranny of Good Intentions.
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